Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000189 0.000212 0.000236 0.000263 0.000294 0.000327 0.000366
2025-01-05 0.000154 0.000183 0.000217 0.000258 0.000308 0.000365 0.000435
2025-01-12 0.000130 0.000164 0.000205 0.000258 0.000324 0.000405 0.000511
2025-01-19 0.000113 0.000150 0.000196 0.000259 0.000342 0.000448 0.000595
2025-01-26 0.000098 0.000135 0.000185 0.000255 0.000352 0.000482 0.000669
2025-02-02 0.000091 0.000131 0.000186 0.000266 0.000382 0.000544 0.000787
2025-02-09 0.000083 0.000124 0.000181 0.000270 0.000403 0.000594 0.000892
2025-02-16 0.000076 0.000117 0.000177 0.000273 0.000421 0.000642 0.000998
2025-02-23 0.000069 0.000110 0.000171 0.000272 0.000433 0.000682 0.001096
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000101 0.000163 0.000267 0.000438 0.000710 0.001176
2025-03-09 0.000057 0.000095 0.000158 0.000266 0.000448 0.000746 0.001273
2025-03-16 0.000052 0.000091 0.000154 0.000266 0.000461 0.000788 0.001382
2025-03-23 0.000048 0.000086 0.000150 0.000266 0.000475 0.000834 0.001506
2025-03-30 0.000044 0.000080 0.000144 0.000263 0.000481 0.000869 0.001615
2025-04-06 0.000041 0.000076 0.000140 0.000263 0.000494 0.000916 0.001749
2025-04-13 0.000038 0.000073 0.000137 0.000264 0.000510 0.000970 0.001902
2025-04-20 0.000035 0.000069 0.000132 0.000261 0.000516 0.001005 0.002024
2025-04-27 0.000034 0.000068 0.000135 0.000272 0.000553 0.001102 0.002276
2025-05-04 0.000032 0.000066 0.000134 0.000276 0.000574 0.001172 0.002480
2025-05-11 0.000030 0.000064 0.000132 0.000279 0.000594 0.001239 0.002684
2025-05-18 0.000028 0.000061 0.000129 0.000279 0.000606 0.001292 0.002863
2025-05-25 0.000026 0.000058 0.000124 0.000274 0.000607 0.001323 0.002998
2025-06-01 0.000024 0.000055 0.000121 0.000272 0.000617 0.001371 0.003176